Bitcoin Breaks $105,000 Barrier Amid ETF Inflows and Trump Policy Hopes

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In a stunning milestone for the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin shattered the $105,000 barrier on Thursday, marking a historic surge driven by unprecedented inflows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and growing anticipation for pro-crypto policies under the incoming Trump administration. The digital asset’s price climbed as high as $105,200 before settling around $104,800 by midday trading, reflecting a more than 5% increase in the past 24 hours and pushing its market capitalization beyond $2 trillion for the first time since late 2021.

This breakthrough comes amid a broader rally in risk assets, with investors piling into equities and alternative investments on hopes of deregulation and economic stimulus. Bitcoin‘s ascent has reignited enthusiasm in the crypto space, drawing in both retail and institutional players who see the token as a hedge against traditional financial uncertainties.

Record-Breaking ETF Inflows Propel Bitcoin to New Heights

The surge in Bitcoin’s value can be largely attributed to record inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have collectively amassed over $3.5 billion in new investments this month alone, according to data from ETF analytics firm Flowdesk. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest such fund, reported net inflows of $1.2 billion in the last week, surpassing previous records set during the initial ETF launch frenzy in January 2024.

These inflows represent a seismic shift for institutional adoption of crypto. “The ETF approvals last year were just the beginning; now we’re seeing sustained demand that validates Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class,” said Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, in a recent interview with Bloomberg. Her firm’s ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF has also seen a 20% uptick in assets under management, totaling $450 million.

Spot ETFs, which directly hold Bitcoin rather than futures contracts, have lowered the barrier to entry for mainstream investors, allowing exposure through familiar brokerage accounts. This accessibility has fueled the current rally, with trading volumes spiking to $50 billion daily across major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance. Analysts point out that ETF demand has absorbed much of the market’s selling pressure, creating a supply squeeze that naturally drives prices higher.

Further bolstering the momentum, regulatory filings show that pension funds and sovereign wealth entities are dipping toes into Bitcoin via these vehicles. For instance, a major European pension fund disclosed a $100 million allocation to spot ETFs last week, signaling growing global confidence in crypto’s stability.

Trump’s Election Victory Sparks Pro-Crypto Policy Expectations

President-elect Donald Trump’s decisive election win has supercharged optimism in the crypto community, with promises of a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment taking center stage. During his campaign, Trump vowed to make the U.S. the “crypto capital of the world,” pledging to end what he called the Biden administration’s “war on crypto” and even suggesting a national Bitcoin strategic reserve.

These remarks have translated into immediate market action. Post-election, Bitcoin jumped 15% in a single day, and the token has since maintained upward traction. “Trump’s stance is a game-changer; it could lead to clearer regulations, tax incentives for miners, and reduced SEC oversight,” noted Michael Saylor, executive chairman of MicroStrategy, a firm holding over 250,000 Bitcoins. Saylor’s company, a bellwether for corporate crypto adoption, saw its stock rise 12% alongside the surge.

Key policy hopes include the potential appointment of crypto advocates to key positions, such as a pro-Bitcoin SEC chair or Treasury officials sympathetic to digital assets. Trump’s transition team has already met with industry leaders from Coinbase and Ripple, discussing frameworks for stablecoins and decentralized finance (DeFi). Such moves could unlock billions in sidelined capital, as institutional investors await regulatory green lights.

Moreover, Trump’s criticism of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) aligns with Bitcoin maximalists’ views, positioning the cryptocurrency as a decentralized alternative. This narrative has resonated, with search interest for “Bitcoin Trump” spiking 300% on Google Trends since November 5.

Broad Market Rally Lifts All Risk Assets in Crypto Surge

The Bitcoin surge isn’t occurring in isolation; it’s part of a wider enthusiasm for risk assets that includes surging stock indices and alternative investments. The S&P 500 climbed 2.5% this week, while tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 3%, buoyed by expectations of tax cuts and deregulation under Trump. Ethereum, the second-largest crypto by market cap, followed Bitcoin’s lead with a 7% increase to $3,800, driven by similar ETF inflows and DeFi growth.

Altcoins like Solana and Cardano also posted double-digit gains, with the total crypto market capitalization exceeding $3.2 trillion—a 10% rise in seven days. This interconnected rally underscores Bitcoin’s role as a market leader, often dictating trends for the broader crypto ecosystem.

Commodities have felt the ripple effects too. Gold prices, traditionally a safe-haven rival to Bitcoin, dipped slightly to $2,650 per ounce as investors rotated into higher-yield assets like crypto. Meanwhile, oil futures rose on anticipated economic growth from pro-business policies, creating a risk-on environment that favors speculative plays.

  • Bitcoin’s Dominance: Currently at 55% of the total crypto market, up from 50% pre-election.
  • Institutional Flows: Hedge funds like Millennium Management have increased crypto allocations to 5% of portfolios.
  • Retail Revival: App downloads for trading platforms surged 40%, per Sensor Tower data.

Economists warn, however, that this surge could amplify volatility if policy expectations falter. Yet, for now, the momentum is undeniable, with Bitcoin’s technical indicators—such as the RSI hovering at 70—suggesting room for further upside before overbought conditions set in.

Expert Voices on the Sustainability of Bitcoin’s Breakout

Market experts are divided on whether this Bitcoin surge marks the start of a prolonged bull run or a short-term euphoria. Willy Woo, an on-chain analytics pioneer, predicts Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by mid-2025, citing favorable halving cycles and ETF dynamics. “The supply-demand imbalance is stark; with halvings reducing new Bitcoin issuance and ETFs hoarding coins, prices have nowhere to go but up,” Woo stated in a podcast appearance.

Conversely, JPMorgan’s Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou cautions against over-optimism, noting that macroeconomic headwinds like persistent inflation could cap gains. “While Trump’s policies are bullish, the Fed’s rate path remains uncertain. Bitcoin’s correlation with equities means a stock correction could drag it down,” he wrote in a research note.

From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin has broken out of a multi-month ascending triangle pattern, with support levels now at $100,000—a psychological floor that held firm during October’s dip. On-chain metrics reveal accumulation by long-term holders, with over 70% of Bitcoin supply unmoved in the past year, per Glassnode data.

Regulatory experts like Jake Chervinsky from Variant Fund emphasize the Trump factor’s long-term impact. “If we see executive orders promoting crypto innovation, it could attract $1 trillion in new capital over the next four years,” Chervinsky opined at a recent conference. This blend of optimism and caution paints a nuanced picture for investors navigating the surge.

In the mining sector, the rally has revitalized operations. U.S.-based miners, benefiting from potential energy policy shifts under Trump, reported a 25% increase in hash rates. Companies like Marathon Digital Holdings saw shares jump 18%, underscoring crypto’s industrial ripple effects.

Future Horizons: What Bitcoin Investors Should Watch Next

Looking ahead, the trajectory of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market hinges on several pivotal developments. The incoming administration’s first 100 days will be crucial, with potential legislation like the FIT21 Act—aiming to clarify crypto oversight—gaining traction in Congress. Passage could streamline ETF expansions to include Ethereum and other assets, further institutionalizing the space.

Global factors also loom large. China’s rumored easing of its crypto ban could flood the market with liquidity, while Europe’s MiCA regulations might standardize adoption across the continent. Investors are eyeing the January 20 inauguration for policy signals, with options trading volumes for Bitcoin futures hitting all-time highs in anticipation.

For retail participants, educational resources are proliferating, with platforms like Binance Academy offering guides on secure storage amid the surge. Wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC have increased by 5% this month, indicating sustained holder conviction.

Environmental concerns persist, though. Bitcoin’s energy-intensive proof-of-work consensus draws scrutiny, but Trump’s pro-fossil fuel stance could support miner access to cheap power. Innovations like layer-2 scaling solutions promise to enhance efficiency, potentially mitigating criticism.

Ultimately, this $105,000 milestone positions Bitcoin as a cornerstone of the evolving financial landscape. As ETF inflows continue and policy tailwinds build, the crypto surge under Trump could redefine investment paradigms, drawing in a new wave of participants eager to capitalize on the digital gold rush. Stakeholders from Wall Street to Main Street will monitor these shifts closely, ready to adapt to whatever the next chapter brings.

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